It’s unrealistic to expect live concerts to return any time soon, one health expert told The New York Times Magazine. Bioethicist Zeke Emanuel, the vice provost for global initiatives and director of the Healthcare Transformation Institute at the University of Pennsylvania, was on a panel of various experts to discuss the impact of COVID-19 for the magazine.
Emanuel led a group from the Center for American Progress that presented a plan to end the coronavirus crisis. His plan consisted of stages that the nation must take, including the eventual economic restart.
“You can’t just flip a switch and open the whole of society up,” Emanuel said. “It’s just not going to work. It’s too much. The virus will definitely flare back to the worst levels.”
When it comes to the estimated length of this ordeal, Emanual said it could take longer than a year.
“Larger gatherings–conferences, concerts, sporting events–when people say they’re going to reschedule this conference or graduation event for October 2020,” he said, “I have no idea how they think that’s a plausible possibility. I think those things will be the last to return. Realistically we’re talking fall 2021 at the earliest.”
Last month, President Trump expressed his hopes that the country would be open by Easter. As time has passed, his focus has shifted to opening sports stadiums by August. Without a clear path to mass testing, though, that goal could be delayed once again.